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Chinese Poverty: Assessing the Impact of Alternative Assumptions

Domenii publicaţii > Economie + Tipuri publicaţii > Articol în revistã ştiinţificã

Autori: Sanjay Reddy and Camelia Minoiu

Editorial: Review of Income and Wealth, 54 (4), p.572–596, 2008.

Rezumat:

This paper investigates how estimates of the extent and trend of consumption poverty in China between 1990 and 2001 vary as a result of alternative plausible assumptions concerning the poverty line and estimated levels of consumption. Our methodology focuses on the following sources of variation: alternative purchasing power parity conversion factors (used to convert an international poverty line), alternative estimates of the level and distribution of private incomes, alternative estimates of the propensity to consume of lower income groups, and alternative consumer price indices. It is widely believed that substantial poverty reduction took place in China in the 1990s, and we find this conclusion to be robust to the choice of assumptions. However, estimates of the extent of Chinese poverty in any year are greatly influenced by the assumptions made.

Cuvinte cheie: saracia de consum, China // consumption poverty, China, sensitivity analysis

URL: http://www.undp-povertycentre.org/newsletters/WorkingPaper25.pdf