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Seasonal prediction of Danube flow variability based on stable teleconnection with sea surface temperature

Domenii publicaţii > Ştiinţele pământului şi planetare + Tipuri publicaţii > Articol în revistã ştiinţificã

Autori: Rimbu, N., M. Dima, G. Lohman, and I. Musat

Editorial: Geophysical Research Letters, 32, 2005.

Rezumat:

It is shown that spring Danube flow anomalies are significantly related to winter SST anomalies from several key regions. These areas are identified through stable teleconnections between flow and SST. A forecast scheme is developed and applied to predict flow anomalies using SST anomalies from key regions. Small potential predictability of winter flow anomalies was also detected. The predictability of the flow anomalies from summer and autumn using SST from the previous seasons is limited by the instability of teleconnections.

Cuvinte cheie: danube river predictability, stable atmospheric teleconnections, sea surface temperature