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Markovian Chain Prognosis Model for Allowable Cut Structure

Domenii publicaţii > Ştiinţele pământului şi planetare + Tipuri publicaţii > Articol în revistã ştiinţificã

Autori: Simona Dragoi & G. Albeanu

Editorial: Lesnictvi - Forestry, 44 (8), p.344 - 347, 1998.


In a free market environment, forest managerial planning could be hardly observed due to financial constraints. A low income confines any afforestation work or clearings, and a low income usually occurs when salvage produce have to be sold instead of main yield for the sake of sustained yield principle. This is a frequent case in Romanian forest management which is based on a quite severe yield schedule aiming at keeping under control the wood by stem stock. The objective of this study is to offer the tool for predicting the structure of the total annual yield. The Markov chain method meets the requirements of this objective as it allows the estimation of the evolution of structure over a certain time horizon assuming that no catastrophic events will occur. Numerical results are also included to sustain a valuable method for the structure prediction useful in forest management (the Preprint on the Web page).

Cuvinte cheie: forest management, Markov chain, structure prediction